When These 3 Macro Signals Flip, I’m Gone

You already know by now: I don’t exit on emotions.
I exit when the data starts screaming.

In Part 1, I gave you the dominance and stablecoin metrics.
In Part 2, we broke down DXY, BTC inflows, and the altcoin market cap ($Total3).

Now in Part 3, we zoom out even further —
because the macro backdrop is what makes or breaks the cycle.

Here are 3 more final-exit signals I’m watching like a hawk.
When these flip? I start rotating out.

Signal 6: SPX Tops = Risk-Off Mode Returns

When the S&P 500 tops, risk appetite collapses — and crypto gets hit harder than anything.

It’s not because BTC is broken.
It’s because liquidity dries up everywhere.

Here’s what happened in late 2021:

• SPX peaked

• Fed hinted at tightening

• BTC was at $69K

• Two months later → $40K

• Three months later → $30K

• Altcoins? Obliterated

Smart traders track SPX RSI, monthly momentum, and macro reversal candles.

Because when legacy risk-off starts,

Signal 7: Global M2 Slows or Drops

It’s one of the strongest predictors of Bitcoin price movement.

When M2 goes up —
Fresh money enters the system,
and risk assets (like BTC and alts) explode.

But when M2 slows or declines?

You could have the best narrative,
the strongest coin,
the most bullish chart…

But without liquidity?

In 2022, M2 flattened, then fell.
Crypto nuked for 12 months straight.

This cycle is no different.

I’ve said it before:

So when that fuel stops flowing?

I turn off the engine — and cash out.

Signal 8: Fed Signals Rate Hikes Again

This is your final macro warning.

The moment the Fed starts talking about “inflation not yet under control”
or hints at future rate hikes,
game over.

It doesn’t matter if we’re mid-rally.
It doesn’t matter if BTC’s at $120K.

The Fed pulls liquidity faster than any other entity on earth.

And when that happens?

We saw it in 2018.
We saw it again in 2022.

And guess what?

These 3 = The Macro Kill Switch

Let me recap:

✅ SPX topping
✅ Global M2 stalling or falling
✅ Fed hinting at more hikes

These are not lagging indicators.

They’re macro triggers.

They kill sentiment.
They cut liquidity.
They collapse the cycle.

So when I see these line up with:

• BTC dominance below 45%

• USDT dominance under 3%

• Total3 over $1.2T

• BTC exchange inflows

• DXY reversal…

Because I’m not here to flex screenshots.

I’m here to preserve capital, disappear at the top, and re-enter when blood is on the floor.

In Part 4, we wrap it up with:

• The 12–18 month halving cycle timer

• Why “BTC to $1M” headlines mean the top is in

• And how I exit long before the collapse — without missing the biggest runs

👉 [Join 9-5 Traders Now]
I’ll be tracking every one of these metrics live — and you’ll get the alerts before the masses react.

This isn’t timing the top perfectly.
This is exiting before you get wiped.

— Victor