Are you well-positioned in 2025?

If you were around in 2021, you remember the chaos.

BTC ran from $9K to $64K, then crashed to $30K—a brutal 58% drop. The sentiment flipped bearish overnight. Everyone called the bull cycle over. Altseason was “canceled.” Sound familiar?

That was May 2021. And yet, six months later, Bitcoin topped at $69K, and altcoins went absolutely ballistic.

The Key Difference Between 2021 and 2025

Now, in 2025, we’re seeing similar fear creeping in.

But here’s where things get interesting…

In May 2021, many alts had already pumped alongside BTC’s first run.
This time? Only a handful of alts have had their first run—OM, SUI, PEPE, XRP, ONDO.

Why?

Because this cycle, retail liquidity didn’t flow into fundamentally strong alts. Instead, it got sucked up by memecoins—TRUMP, MELANIA, and other influencer-backed coins.

In simple terms:

👉 In 2021, altcoin liquidity was diversified.
👉 In 2025, altcoin liquidity was misplaced.

This is important because altseason hasn’t properly played out yet.

Timing Matters: How the Cycle Is Playing Out

In 2021, after BTC broke down from $64K, it stayed in a range for months before reclaiming $45K-$64K. It wasn’t until 175 days later (November 2021) that BTC made its final top.

Applying this same timeline to 2025?
🚀 That puts us at August 2025 for the next major move.

This lines up with my previous forecast: if BTC breaks below $89K, altseason gets pushed back to Q3-Q4. If liquidity enters earlier, we see a move in Q2.

But here’s the biggest difference between now and 2021:

2021 had quantitative easing (QE) right before ETH took off.
2025? No QE… yet.

Until liquidity injections start, we don’t get the same aggressive push for alts. But when it does? That’s when altseason goes full throttle.

Will BTC Drop Further?

Let’s compare:

🔹 2021 drop: 58% (from $64K to $30K)
🔹 2025 drop (so far): 23%

Could we drop further? Yes.
My final watch level is $72K.

Lower than that? I highly doubt it—unless the bull market is over.

And here’s the critical part:

In 2021, after BTC consolidated at $30K, the Stochastic RSI (Sto RSI) fully reset on the weekly timeframe.
Once it crossed back above 30, it never looked back—rallying to $69K.

Right now? The Sto RSI has just reset.

🚨 Risk to the downside is lower than the risk to the upside.

What This Means for You

Look, the cycle isn’t over. But most people are too impatient to see it through.

Retail has been misallocating capital into memes, delaying the inevitable alt run. Liquidity is still missing—but it will return. The smart play? Position yourself before it does.

This market rewards those who stay ahead. That’s exactly why I created my 9-5 Traders community—to help people navigate these cycles with real insights, not emotions.

Inside, we cover:

✅ Macro cycle strategy: How to ride the big moves, not get shaken out.
✅ Altseason preparation: Spotting strong plays before liquidity arrives.
✅ Risk management: Keeping you in the game for the long haul.

The next 6-12 months will define the winners of this cycle. The only question is: Will you be one of them?

👉 Join my 9-5 Traders community here. 

See you on the inside.

Victor