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Bitcoin CDD Just Flashed — What That Means for Our Next Move

And when price goes sideways, I pay even closer attention.

Author

Digital Vault
June 05, 2025

BTC’s been holding strong above $100K since May.
We tagged $112K recently. Bulls are in control.

But now we pause.

And when price goes sideways, I pay even closer attention.

Because it’s not just about price.
It’s about what’s happening behind the candles.

One on-chain metric just moved — and I don’t ignore it.

Let’s break it down.

CDD Is Starting to Rise — What It Means

You’ve heard me say this before:

Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) = when long-term holders move their coins.

The longer a coin is held, the more “coin days” it accumulates.
When those coins move, those days are destroyed — and we get a signal.

Right now?

  • 90-Day CDD is still moderate: ~14 million

  • 21-Day CDD is ticking up = short-term rise in long-term coins moving

Translation?

Some old holders are waking up.
Some are prepping to sell.
Some are just shifting for volatility.

This isn’t panic.
But it is the early whisper of a shift in sentiment.

Why I’m Watching This Closely

Long-term holders don’t move coins for fun.

They move coins:

  • When prepping for volatility

  • When rotating into strength

  • Or when preparing to SELL

This uptick doesn’t scream top — yet.

But it tells me this:

Some players who’ve been sitting tight for months… are no longer asleep.

In previous cycles, big CDD spikes preceded major tops.
Right now, we’re still in early territory.

But I’m tracking it closely because these people move before the crowd.

Macro: Tensions + Treasury Yields = Pressure

Zoom out.

We’ve got:

  • Global trade tensions rising

  • US Treasury yields pushing up

  • Macro volatility creeping in

That’s why BTC isn’t breaking $112K yet.

Even though institutions are circling…
Even though spot ETFs are live…
Even though stables are flowing in…

The market is cautious.
And caution usually comes before decision.

Price Action: The Battle Zone

Here’s where we’re at:

  • Support = $103,600 (key line, aligns with 34 EMA)

  • Resistance = $109,300 (still untouched)

  • Current = ~$105,300

Volume? Falling.
Momentum? Slowing.
Structure? Still bullish — but vulnerable.

If BTC breaks above $109K on strength → We push higher
If BTC closes below $103K → Sentiment flips quickly

We’re rangebound.

But that’s how BTC behaves before big moves.

What I’m Doing Inside 9-5 Traders

✅ Tracking CDD and other long-term holder metrics
✅ Watching Total3 and stablecoin flows for rotation
✅ Mapping exact re-entries on altcoins if BTC breaks $112K
✅ Prepping defensive plays if $103K breaks

I’m not guessing. I’m positioning.

This is the stage where most retail gets chopped up.

They buy breakouts too late.
They sell too early.
They miss rotations.

That’s why I’ve built a system — and a community — that executes when others hesitate.

👉 [Join 9-5 Traders Now]
So when CDD spikes again or we break $109K,
you’ll already know what to do — with targets, stop placements, and portfolio rebalancing.

This isn’t luck. It’s execution.

— Victor