BTC Sto RSI Playbook (2/4)

Let’s be clear:

This wasn’t a surprise. This wasn’t luck. This wasn’t a guess.

What we’re seeing right now in the crypto market was mapped in advance.

• Bearish divergence on the monthly? ✅

• Blow-off top and slow bleed? ✅

• Retest of the 76k breakout origin? ✅

If you were caught off guard by this move, it’s because you didn’t study the map. You didn’t internalize what the chart was showing you.

And that’s the difference between surviving this market—and being food for it.

🧠 The Market Moves with Memory

Everyone wants to treat Bitcoin like a slot machine.

They don’t want to zoom out. They don’t want to read structure.
They just want “up only” with zero patience.

But markets—especially crypto—don’t reward impatience.

They reward discipline. They reward structure. They reward memory.

And right now, price is playing by the rules.

Let’s zoom in.📊 The Monthly Told You Everything

We were printing a textbook bearish divergence on the monthly and weekly chart.

Price made higher highs. Momentum (RSI/Stoch RSI) made lower highs.

That’s not hopium. That’s a flashing warning light.

When that happens at the top of a move—after a breakout—you know what’s coming next: a trap for late buyers, followed by a reversion to structure.

And that structure?

The origin of the breakout. 76k.

That was the real test. That was the level you needed to be watching. And that’s exactly where price tapped.

Go check the chart.

It wasn’t voodoo. It was pure structure.

Price doesn’t move randomly. It rallies, traps, and retests.

It always comes back to old resistance to see if it can become new support.

And now it has.

📉 The Monthly Stoch RSI Has Reset

Momentum has fully cooled off.

This is big.

Because the monthly Stoch RSI doesn’t move fast. It’s a macro signal. When it resets—fully—it sets the stage for the next cycle leg.

But—and this is the part people forget—reset doesn’t mean rally right away.

Monthly structure takes time to form.

Tops aren’t a single candle. Bottoms aren’t either.

They’re built over months of sideways price action, confusion, and boredom.

That’s the phase we’re in right now.

The “base building” zone.

This is where most people exit out of frustration—right before the next major move begins.

🕯️ This Is Why Tourists Lose Money

Let’s break down the behavior:

1. They FOMO on breakouts.

2. They panic-sell dips.

3. They ignore structure and chase candles.

4. They call sideways price action “boring” and rotate into garbage coins.

That’s how they get chopped up.

But the smart ones?
They understand what’s forming.
They wait.
They build positions when momentum resets—not after price moons.

Let’s be honest: if you’re bored right now, that’s a good sign.

It means the setup is loading.

And when this base is done forming?

That’s when we move.

🕵️‍♂️ What Comes Next?

Simple checklist:

• 76k retest? ✅ Hit.

• Monthly Stoch RSI? ✅ Fully reset.

• Bottoming structure? ⏳ Still forming.

• Breakout setup? 🔜 Loading.

But there’s one more layer most aren’t watching closely…

🗺️ So What’s the Play?

Here’s the actual roadmap, straight:

1. If 75k holds on the weekly, structure is intact → accumulation continues.

2. If 75k breaks, we watch for bullish divergences and reversal signals lower.

That’s it.

No guessing. No gambling.

Just letting the market show you what it wants to do—and being ready to act.

Because the longer we base here?

The stronger the next breakout will be.

💡 Your Edge Is Patience

If you understood the original analysis—none of this price action should shock you.

The roadmap is still playing out.
The chart is still in control.
And if you’re still here, studying this structure instead of chasing noise?

You’re early.

Again.

Next email:
We break down the weekly trap setup, and how to spot reversals before they start—using divergences, volume, and market structure.

Which we already did in 9-5 Traders.

No hype. No fluff.
Just the actual playbook.

Stay sharp,
—Victor