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Let me be blunt.
It’s going to reward structure.
Right now BTC is doing what it always does before expansion or breakdown:
It compresses.
Lower highs.
Flat demand.
Liquidity building on both sides.
And retail is bored.
Bored traders overtrade.
Overtrading leads to drawdown.
Drawdown leads to emotional decisions.
Emotional decisions lead to exits right before expansion.
This is how most people lose an entire year.
Now here’s the alpha.
What Most People Are Missing Right Now
Look at three things:
1. BTC dominance
2. ETH/BTC
3. Stablecoin dominance
If BTC.D is grinding higher while price is chopping sideways, that’s not bullish for alts.
If ETH/BTC cannot reclaim key weekly levels, altseason is not ready.
If USDT.D is holding support and coiling, liquidity isn’t aggressively re-entering risk.
This is a capital preservation phase.
And in capital preservation phases, survival is edge.
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The Liquidity Trap Forming
Pull up the BTC chart.
You’ll notice:
• Equal lows forming near recent support
• Equal highs just under range resistance
• Open interest rising slightly on small pumps
That’s a textbook liquidity box.
What happens next?
Price will move toward the side with the most stops.
Right now?
Retail longs are stacked just below support.
Which means a sweep is statistically more likely than a clean breakout.
That does not mean bear market.
It means volatility event.
If We Sweep
If we lose support impulsively:
Do not blindly buy first touch.
Wait for:
• Reclaim
• Bullish divergence
• Volume expansion
• Failed breakdown
That’s how you avoid becoming exit liquidity.
If We Break Up
If we reclaim range highs with weekly acceptance:
Do not FOMO.
Wait for:
• Retest
• Hold
• Confirmation
Breakouts without retest are traps in chop environments.
This is the environment we’re in.
And this is exactly why the newsletter is going paid on March 2.
Because free commentary is no longer enough.
From March 2 onward:
Free readers get ~30%.
Paid readers get:
• Exact liquidity pockets
• Allocation percentages
• Invalidations
• Position models
• Chop Survival Playbook chapters
This is not about selling signals.
This is about teaching you how to survive 12 months without blowing up.
Important
If you join before March 6, you get 2 weeks trial.
That means:
You can see how I structure execution during chop before committing long term.
Paid Discord includes paid newsletter.
So if you’re already considering the execution room, that tier includes everything.
Let me be clear.
Most traders will lose money in March.
Not because they’re stupid.
But because they don’t understand this phase.
Chop destroys impatience.
If you want structure, risk architecture, and capital discipline:
Upgrade before March 6.
After that, trial closes.
March 2 the paywall goes up.
This is the line.
If you’re serious about this cycle, step forward and pay attention to the email coming out on Monday.
If not, stay free.
But understand the difference.
Next email will go out tonight.
And I’ll show you what happens if 60k fails.
Victor
