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- Prepare yourself ahead this week with this no BS market outlook. [FINAL 12 HOURS!]
Prepare yourself ahead this week with this no BS market outlook. [FINAL 12 HOURS!]
This is raw, real-time market alpha for the serious.
Listen.
You have approx 4 more months in 2025.
That's probably it before we enter into the next bear market.
If you have NO clarity of what's gonna happen or what you gonna do,
Either you ape in mindlessly or do it well under clear guidance.
Altseason Is a Mind Trap
Here’s the truth that most can’t admit:
Altseason is more of a mental test than a market event.
Everyone says they want it.
But most aren’t ready for it.
Because when it comes, it comes fast.
40% candle on a microcap
Gas fees spike
Twitter screams “buy the breakout”
You start jumping from chart to chart
That’s where most people lose.
Not because the market failed them.
But because they had no plan and zero conviction.
Altseason doesn’t reward the loudest. It rewards the prepared.
The ones who:
Accumulated the right names while no one cared
Watched BTC.D, ETH.D, and stablecoin flows for weeks
Took profit into strength, not after collapse
Didn’t chase new narratives mid-pump
Let me be blunt:
If you’re not building your list now, you’re already late.
If you’re still asking, “is altseason coming?” — then it’s not coming for you.
It will happen. But not for everyone.
The edge is mental positioning, not just technical timing.
You have 12 hours before price goes up.
And here’s your market outlook.
1. Bitcoin (BTC) — $116,950

BTC’s been boxed in since the weekend.
Support: $116,800 (tested twice).
Resistance: $118,800 (multiple rejections).
Break above $118.8k = opens $121k and possibly $123.6k
Break below $116.8k = retest of $114.5k, maybe $112.3k
No breakout, no trade. Let the structure resolve.
This zone has held tight for 3 days. Buyers show up at $116.8k, but can’t push above $118.8k. You’ve got clean horizontal levels and indecision. That means the next move will come with force.
My take:
Don’t trade noise. Wait for resolution.
Above $118.8k, I target $121k and $123.6k.
Below $116.8k, I expect fast moves to $114.5k, possibly $112.3k.
Sit tight. Let price prove its intent.
2. Ethereum (ETH) — $3,728
ETH is showing its teeth.
Resistance: $3,800–$3,850
Support: $3,600–$3,650, with a floor at $3,550
A daily close above $3,850 targets $3,950–$4,020
Rejection = back to $3,600 and below
ETH’s relative strength vs BTC matters. Watch ETH.D to confirm.
My take:
ETH looks stronger than BTC. That alone matters.
If $3,850 clears, I’ll be watching $3,950 to $4,020.
Fail here and it’s a fast drop back to $3,600 or lower.
Structure says be patient. But it’s showing its hand.
3. Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) — ~60.9%
Still hovering near highs, in a sideways chop between 60–62%.
BTC.D dropping while BTC holds = rotation to ETH and large caps
BTC.D dropping with BTC dumping = risk-off, stables rising
This week will reveal which narrative wins.
My take:
This is the pivot. If BTC.D starts falling while BTC holds steady, alts get air.
If BTC.D drops while BTC drops, we’re heading into safety.
I’m watching ETH.D closely alongside this.
4. Ethereum Dominance (ETH.D) — ~11.6%
This is rising off the bottom.

It was under 9% a few weeks back. Now at 11.6%, with room to push.
Target zone = 13.5–14%
If ETH.D climbs while ETH holds $3.6k+ and BTC.D drops — that’s a true alt ignition signal
My take:
If ETH.D climbs above 12% while ETH holds above $3,600, it’s the first real sign of altseason structure.
Target range is 13.5 to 14%. That’s when the market will flip from BTC-led to ETH-led.
Not there yet. But the shift has started.
5. USDT Dominance — ~4.2%
Sideways for now, 4.15–4.30% zone intact.
Below 4.1% = capital flowing into risk
Above 4.4% = exit doors opening
Until that shifts, expect hesitation.
My take:
I watch this every day.
If it drops under 4.1%, that’s the first green light for broader altcoin participation.
If it spikes above 4.4%, I tighten up. Until then, we stay in this wait-and-see pocket.
6. S&P 500 (SPY) — $627.6
Still within $626.5–$629.4
Earnings will decide direction.
SPY green = BTC likely holds range or breaks up.
SPY red = BTC loses $116.8k fast.
My take:
As long as SPY holds above $625, I stay risk-neutral to slightly risk-on.
If it breaks below $623, I’ll assume weakness will leak into BTC.
It’s not just a stock chart. It’s a reflection of macro appetite.
7. Dollar Index (DXY) — 97.9
Coiling in a narrow band: 97.5–98.2
Spike above 98.2 = pressure on risk assets
Drop to 97.2 = market breathes easier
My take:
A breakout above 98.2 will bring volatility across risk assets.
A breakdown to 97.2 will let crypto breathe.
Until it moves, I focus on structure within crypto. But I keep this open on the side screen always.
DXY is your silent killer. Don’t ignore it.
This Week’s Playbook
If you're in a 9-5 and don't have time to micro-manage charts, just remember this:
BTC needs to break out of $116.8k–$118.8k. Otherwise, it’s noise.
ETH showing real strength. Eyes on $3,850.
ETH dominance rising = real rotation potential
SPY and DXY = mood setters. Treat them like macro indicators
Stablecoin flows still undecided. Risk window not wide open yet
Final Word
You don’t need to guess. You just need to watch structure and confirm flow.
Let the tourists chase green candles.
Let influencers post hindsight entries.
We track structure, watch dominance, and strike with purpose.
Price Goes Up in 12 Hours
If you’re reading this and you’re not inside my premium group, let me be blunt:
You’re late.
Not to the trades. But to the guidance that makes them obvious before they happen.
In 12 hours, my membership pricing increases.
No second chances. No retroactive deals.
This is your chance to lock in lifetime alpha before the door moves.
👉 Upgrade now before price rises tonight.
We trade metrics. Not hopium.
This is where conviction is built.
— Victor.