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- Sideways Is Where Retail Loses Position | Part 2 of 4
Sideways Is Where Retail Loses Position | Part 2 of 4
Now let’s go one layer deeper.
In Part 1, I explained why sideways markets are not neutral and why they exist to drain patience rather than capital.
Now let’s go one layer deeper.
Because the real damage of sideways action is not emotional fatigue alone.
It is position destruction.
Most people do not lose because they were wrong on direction.
They lose because they are no longer positioned when the move finally comes.
Sideways Markets Do Not Kill Accounts. They Kill Positioning
Here is the hard truth.
Most traders who miss big moves were actually right early.
They bought the right levels.
They understood the macro.
They even survived the initial drawdown.
Then sideways action arrived.
And that is where everything fell apart.
Why?
Because sideways markets create a very specific psychological trap.
You start to feel stupid for being early.
You start to feel impatient for waiting.
You start to feel tempted to do something.
Anything.
This is how good positions die.
How Retail Gets Pushed Out Without Realizing It
Sideways markets remove traders in three stages.
First stage: doubt.
Price does not move.
You question your thesis.
Second stage: frustration.
You see small pumps get sold.
You see no follow through.
Third stage: abandonment.
You close positions to feel relief.
You tell yourself you will re enter later.
This is time based capitulation.
No panic.
No drama.
Just slow surrender.
And it is far more effective than crashes.
Why Market Makers Love This Phase
Market makers do not want you liquidated.
They want you gone.
Liquidations create volatility.
Volatility attracts attention.
Attention brings new participants.
Sideways action does the opposite.
It quietly removes participants without noise.
Low volume.
Low excitement.
Low engagement.
That allows accumulation to happen without resistance.
When you feel like the market is dead, it usually means positioning is being rebuilt quietly.
The Illusion of Being Wrong
One of the most dangerous thoughts during sideways action is this:
“Maybe I was wrong.”
But most of the time, you are not wrong.
You are early.
Markets do not reward early conviction immediately.
They punish it first.
Sideways action is how they test whether your conviction is real or emotional.
If your conviction disappears simply because price did not move for weeks, it was never conviction.
It was expectation.
Overtrading Is the Silent Account Killer
This is where most damage actually happens.
Not from one big loss.
But from many small ones.
Sideways markets tempt you to overtrade.
You try to scalp noise.
You try to force edge where there is none.
You try to be productive.
And slowly, fees add up.
Small losses add up.
Confidence erodes.
By the time the breakout comes, you are mentally exhausted and underexposed.
That is not bad luck.
That is design.
Why Breakouts Feel Violent After Sideways Phases
Have you ever noticed how fast price moves after long consolidation?
No pullbacks.
No comfort entries.
Just straight candles.
That is because:
Positioning is light.
Sellers are exhausted.
Buyers are late.
The market does not give second chances after sideways phases.
It moves quickly because it already did the work.
That is why people say things like:
“I knew this would happen but I was not in.”
They were right.
They just did not last long enough.
This Is the Phase Where Professionals Separate Themselves
Professionals do not try to force returns in sideways action.
They do three things only:
Preserve capital.
Preserve position.
Preserve mental clarity.
They reduce activity, not increase it.
They accept boredom as part of the process.
They understand that time is doing the work for them.
Retail does the opposite.
They seek stimulation.
They chase movement.
They confuse action with progress.
And they lose their seat.
Ask Yourself This Question Honestly
If price breaks out tomorrow, are you positioned?
Or did sideways action slowly push you out without you noticing?
That answer tells you everything you need to know about where you stand in this cycle.
Sideways markets do not ask for bravery.
They ask for discipline.
Final Thought
Time based capitulation is more powerful than fear based capitulation.
It removes the patient pretenders and leaves only the truly disciplined.
If you are still here, still tracking, still thinking clearly, you are already ahead.
Part 3 will break down how sideways action sets up explosive asymmetric moves and why the next phase always feels unfair to those who left early.
And if you want to see how I am managing positioning, sizing, and timing during this exact phase, that is not happening in the newsletter.
It is happening live inside the Discord.
This is where conviction is built while the market is quiet.
Do not wait for excitement.
That is when it is already too late.
Victor