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This Cycle Is Far From Over - Here's Why You're Wrong

And retail, as usual, is projecting fear into market tops.

I’m not usually this blunt.

But if you seriously think Bitcoin — and the wider financial markets — have already topped…

You’re either untrained
Or straight up delusional.

Because if you’ve studied cycle dynamics, you’d know this isn’t how it ends.

Not even close.

Let me break it down for you.

Right now, there’s war FUD in the air.
I get it.

People are scared.
Macro is tense.
Geopolitical headlines are flying.
Volatility is spiking.

And retail, as usual, is projecting fear into market tops.

“It’s over.”
“Final leg was weak.”
“Altseason didn’t show up.”
“Recession is coming.”
“Top is in.”

Sound familiar?

This always happens.

But guess what?

Being scared doesn’t make you right.

Here’s what people don’t understand:

Markets move in cycles — and cycles have structure

They don’t just randomly end because you’re anxious.

Every single cycle in Bitcoin’s history has concluded with a final act:

Price discovery
Parabolic expansion
Maximum euphoria

You can literally see it on a chart.

It’s not speculation.
It’s structure.

Now let’s get technical.

There’s one chart I’ve been watching — and it’s screaming that we’re not done yet.

Bollinger Bands + 20SMA

What you need to understand:

When Bitcoin enters the final act of a bull cycle,
The price doesn’t just climb — it accelerates.

This acceleration causes the Bollinger Bands (which track volatility around the 20-day moving average) to expand massively.

We saw it in:

  • 2013

  • 2017

  • 2021

At every final push into the blow-off top…

The bands widen.
Volatility spikes.
Price goes vertical.

And what do we see now?

Flat bands. Tight squeeze. Consolidation.

Translation?

No parabolic move yet.

No expansion.

No euphoria.

We haven’t even had a sniff of what that final blow-off looks like.

To the crowd that says:

“Maybe this cycle is different.”
“Maybe we don’t get a parabolic top.”
“Maybe this was it.”

I say:

Learn cycles.
Learn how money moves.
Learn why financial markets behave the way they do.

They’re not random.

They're engineered to:

  1. Accumulate

  2. Rally

  3. Expand

  4. Euphoria

  5. Collapse

  6. Reset

And we’re still in Stage 3.

So unless Bitcoin breaks and holds well below structure,
With macro flipping fully risk-off,
Liquidity drying up,
And on-chain distribution confirmed…

I’m not bearish.
I’m preparing.

Because when that volatility kicks in,
When those bands explode,
When euphoria hits and CT is screaming $500K BTC…

That’s when I exit.

Until then?
We stay sharp.
We stay convicted.
We stay positioned.

Inside 9-5 Traders, I break down these signals before they hit the public feed.

I call the rotations.
I watch the metrics that actually matter.
And I show you when to get out before it’s obvious.

The top isn’t in.

But when it is — you’ll be the first to know.

— Victor
Founder, 9-5 Traders | Cycle Student, Not a Victim

P.S.
If you’re sitting out right now because it “feels scary”...

Let me remind you:

The biggest moves come right after maximum hesitation.

Watch the volatility.
Track the structure.
And stay out of your own way.

We're not done.

Not even close.