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Let me be blunt.

This week exposed who’s trading with a plan…
and who’s just reacting to candles.

I’ve been telling you the same thing again and again.

Structure first.
Not feelings.
Not narratives.
Not Twitter noise.

And this week?

The market respected structure. Exactly.

My Positioning This Week (And Why It Matters)

Let me start here.

Yesterday I mentioned we caught a 20% move in TAO and exited.

On the options side, both our trades are still earning.

I called the 2550 and 2500 levels.

Not after the move.
Before the move.

Those positions?

Now sitting at:

• 58% profit
• 11% profit

And here’s the part most of you still don’t understand.

This was more capital efficient than shorting.

Read that again.

You don’t need to chase downside with leverage and stress.
You position smart.
You let the market come to you.

That’s the difference between:

• Retail trying to be right
• Professionals trying to extract money

The real edge is not predicting direction.

The real edge is positioning before the move…
with asymmetric risk.

That’s why I taught options to 9-5 Traders as well. Inside discord.

The Candle That Matters (And Why You Should Care)

Now let’s talk about what just printed.

Because this is not random.

This is information.

Bitcoin and Ethereum just closed with bearish engulfing candles.

Let me be clear.

This is not just a red candle.

This is:

• Rejection at key levels
• Failed continuation
• Supply stepping in aggressively

This is how trends shift.

Slow grind up…
weak structure…
then one strong candle wipes it.

That’s not bullish.

That’s distribution.

Most traders will look at this and say:

“Just a pullback.”

No.

This is where momentum stalls.

This is where smart money starts offloading.

When it all clicks.

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Stocks Are Saying the Same Thing (But You’re Not Listening)

Crypto doesn’t move in isolation.

If you’re only looking at BTC…
you’re already behind.

Look at the broader market.

S&P 500

NASDAQ Composite

Dow Jones Industrial Average

All three are now flirting with key support.

This is not random timing.

When equities sit on support:

You get one of two things:

  1. Bounce → risk-on continues

  2. Breakdown → liquidity dries up fast

And if equities lose support?

Crypto doesn’t hold.

It accelerates down.

That’s the correlation most retail ignores.

Gold, Silver… Same Story

Now here’s where it gets even more interesting.

Safe haven assets are not breaking out.

They are also sitting at key levels.

Think about what this means.

If gold and silver were breaking out hard?

That’s panic.
That’s flight to safety.

But they’re not.

They’re hesitating.

Sitting at support.

This is a market waiting for a trigger.

Not a market that has bottomed.

The One Indicator Nobody Watches Properly

Let’s talk about fear.

Or rather…

The lack of it.

CBOE Volatility Index

The VIX has not spiked.

Let me translate that for you.

There is no panic yet.

And that’s the problem.

Real bottoms don’t happen when everyone is calm.

They happen when:

• Fear spikes
• Liquidations cascade
• People capitulate

We are not there yet.

This is still controlled.

Still orderly.

Still dangerous.

My Position Right Now (And Why Most Won’t Do It)

I’m fully 100% in USDC.

Flat.

No exposure.

And I know most of you won’t do this.

Because you feel like:

“If I’m not in the market, I’m missing out.”

That’s the trap.

Professionals don’t need to be in the market all the time.

They wait.

They prepare.

They strike when odds are in their favor.

2026 Is Not About Chasing Pumps

Let me give you the mindset shift you need.

2026 is not the year of:

• Chasing breakouts
• Buying green candles
• Forcing trades

2026 is the year of:

• Capital preservation
• Precision entries
• Exploiting volatility

The game changes here.

You either adapt…

or you get chopped to death.

The Real Play From Here

This is what I’m watching.

Not predictions.

Scenarios.

Scenario 1: Support Breaks Across Markets

• BTC and ETH follow through from bearish engulfing
• SPX loses support
• VIX spikes

This is where we get acceleration down.

This is where forced selling happens.

This is where you deploy capital.

Scenario 2: Short-Term Bounce (Trap)

• Markets bounce from support
• Crypto gets relief rally

Most will think:

“Bottom is in.”

But structure will still be weak.

Lower highs.

No real strength.

This is where most get trapped.

Scenario 3: True Reclaim (Low Probability For Now)

• BTC reclaims key levels
• Equities hold and push higher
• VIX stays suppressed

Only then do we talk about continuation.

Not before.

What Most Traders Will Do (And Why They Lose)

Let me be honest.

Most traders will:

• See one green candle and FOMO
• Ignore macro signals
• Trade without a plan
• Overleverage into chop

Then blame the market.

But the market is not random.

It’s just unforgiving.

What I’m Doing (And What You Should Learn)

I’m doing nothing.

And that’s the trade.

I’ve taken profits.

I’ve moved to stable capital.

Now I wait.

For:

• Panic
• Dislocations
• Forced selling

That’s where real money is made.

Not in the middle.

Not in chop.

Not in uncertainty.

Final Reality Check

Let me leave you with this.

The market has not bottomed.

Not structurally.
Not emotionally.
Not psychologically.

You don’t get generational opportunities in calm conditions.

You get them when:

Everyone is scared.
Everyone is wrong.
Everyone is forced out.

We are not there yet.

But we are getting closer.

Closing

If you’re still chasing right now…

You’re early.

If you’re sitting in cash, waiting…

You’re preparing.

And in this game?

Preparation beats prediction.

Every time.

Stay sharp.

Victor

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