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This week marks an important shift.
Not because Bitcoin suddenly turned bullish.
Not because the bottom is magically confirmed.
But because the market has now printed a clear reference low.
We’ve put in a local low around ~60k.
That does not mean the bottom is in.
It means the market has finally agreed on a level where buyers were willing to step in.
From here, the game changes.
We move from free fall into range conditions.
And range conditions punish impatience more than they reward conviction.
What This Local Low Actually Means
A local low is not a prophecy.
It’s a data point.
It tells us where panic stopped working and where liquidity was absorbed.
The mistake most traders make is assuming a local low equals upside continuation.
That’s not how markets work.
After sharp selloffs, markets usually do one of three things:
Bounce and roll over
Chop sideways to reset positioning
Reclaim key resistance and trend again
Right now, Bitcoin is doing number two.
That’s not exciting.
But it’s important.
The Range Is Now Defined
Until proven otherwise, the highest-probability environment is a range trade.
The range is simple.
• Upper boundary: [inside free room + discord]
• Lower boundary: [inside free room + discord]
Everything in between is noise.
If you are trading in the middle of this range, you are donating liquidity to people who are not emotional.
This is not a conviction zone.
This is a decision zone.
When it all clicks.
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How To Think About Price Inside a Range
Range markets are deceptive.
Price moves a lot.
But progress is minimal.
Some days feel bullish.
Some days feel heavy.
And then you zoom out and realise price hasn’t gone anywhere.
That’s intentional.
Ranges exist to:
• Drain patience
• Force overtrading
• Reset leverage
• Reprice risk
The market is not trying to trick you.
It’s trying to wear you down.
The Bullish Case
The bullish case is not complicated.
It requires one thing only.
Acceptance above the range high.
Not a wick.
Not a Sunday pump.
Not a low-volume squeeze.
Acceptance.
That means:
• Holding above [inside free room + discord]
• Seeing follow-through
• Seeing failed pullbacks hold as support
If that happens, then we stop talking about range trading and start talking about higher targets again.
Until then, bullish narratives are just stories.
The Bearish Case
The bearish case is equally simple.
A clean breakdown and weekly close below the range low.
Not an intraday sweep.
Not a stop hunt.
A close.
If that happens, then the market is telling you it wants deeper liquidity.
Below that, the next meaningful zones open up at [inside free room + discord].
That doesn’t mean it goes there immediately.
It means risk expands.
And when risk expands, size and exposure need to shrink.
How I’d Operate Here
This is the part most people get wrong.
They ask,
“Is this bullish or bearish?”
That’s the wrong question.
The right question is,
“How do I behave inside a range?”
If You’re Sidelined
Do nothing in the middle.
Wait for the edges.
Let price come to [inside free room + discord] or [inside free room + discord].
Patience here is not passive.
It’s strategic.
The best trades come when risk is obvious, not when price feels exciting.
If You’re Trading
This is not a size-up environment.
Range trading requires:
• Smaller size
• Faster exits
• No ego
You fade extremes.
You take profits quickly.
You do not marry positions.
If you feel the urge to “hold and hope” inside a range, you’re trading the wrong environment.
If You’re Accumulating
This is the only group that can afford to be slightly less precise.
But even then, discipline matters.
You scale slowly.
You keep dry powder.
You assume volatility is not done.
All-in thinking here is how portfolios get stuck for months.
Why This Range Matters So Much
This range will decide who participates in the next expansion.
People who overtrade now will be mentally exhausted later.
People who preserve capital now will have flexibility later.
Markets don’t reward activity.
They reward preparation.
This is one of those periods where doing less is doing more.
Final Thoughts
Bitcoin is not broken.
But it is not trending either.
We are in a decision range, not a conviction zone.
If you treat this like a breakout market, you will bleed slowly.
If you treat it with patience and structure, you’ll still have ammo when the real move comes.
The market will show its hand.
Your job is to still be standing when it does.
Want The Exact Levels And Real-Time Updates?
I’ve deliberately not published the precise levels here.
Those are shared inside the free room and tracked live inside the paid Discord, where context, invalidations, and execution plans are updated in real time.
If you’re serious about navigating this range properly:
• Join the free room to see the exact BTC levels and structure
• Join the paid Discord if you want ETH, SOL, and full market positioning
Paid Discord
👉 https://whop.com/digitalvault1
This is where preparation happens.
Victor
