Victor's Monday Market Outlook

Let me be very clear with you.

This past week was not about direction.
It was not about being right or wrong.
It was not about catching a big move.

It was about patience.

And most people failed that test.

Price went up.
Price went down.
And now we are finishing Sunday almost exactly where we were last week.

Same range.
Same levels.
Same problem.

Nothing really changed.

And that is precisely why this kind of market is dangerous.

Not because it crashes you.
But because it drains you.

BTC – A Week of Movement With Zero Progress

Zoom out and be honest with yourself.

This entire week was chop.

We had intraday pumps that looked bullish.
We had sharp pullbacks that felt heavy.
We had moments where Twitter flipped bullish, then bearish, then confused.

And after all that emotional noise, what do we have?

The same range.

This is what low volume markets look like.

A lot of candles.
A lot of movement.
No real progress.

Low volume does not trend.
Low volume fakes momentum.

It tempts you to trade.
It invites you to overreact.
It makes you feel like you are missing something.

But the truth is simple.

Chop does not reward activity.
It rewards restraint.

If you tried to force trades this week, you probably felt exhausted.
Not because you were wrong on direction.
But because chop punishes impatience.

This is not a market that wants you to win quickly.
It wants you to get bored, frustrated, and sloppy.

Why Chop Is Harder Than Crashes

Here’s something most traders never understand.

Big crashes are obvious.
You reduce risk.
You step back.
You survive.

Chop is subtle.

It whispers instead of screams.

It says:
“Just one more trade.”
“This looks like the breakout.”
“Surely this time it goes.”

And slowly, it bleeds you.

Mentally first.
Then financially.

That is why I keep saying this.

Zoom out.
Accept the boredom.
Stop trying to manufacture excitement where there is none.

The next real move will not come from this noise.

Key BTC Level That Actually Matters

Right now, [premium] remains the next real level of interest.

Not because it is guaranteed.
Not because we must go there.
But because that is where structure actually changes.

Everything above that is still range behavior.
Everything inside this box is noise.

If price stays above it, fine.
If price wicks into it, we reassess.
If price loses it cleanly, then we talk again.

Until then, patience is not optional.
It is the edge.

ETH – Momentum Needs Confirmation

Ethereum is slightly more constructive, but still not free.

Stochastic RSI is rising.
That tells us momentum is attempting to build.

But indicators without confirmation are just hope.

ETH needs to close above 3.1k on lower timeframes to gain momentum ahead.

Not wick it.
Not tag it.
Close it.

Until that happens, ETH is still stuck reacting to BTC, not leading.

This is not the phase to chase.
This is the phase to wait for confirmation.

SOL – Progress, But Not the Green Light Yet

Solana has been more interesting than most.

After that bullish divergence, it did not explode immediately.
That frustrates impatient traders.

But look closer.

SOL bounced to 128 from our last entry around 124.
More importantly, it formed a higher low from 116.

That matters.

Structure improves before price does.

The downside is Stochastic RSI is pushing into overbought territory.
Yes, that can stay elevated for a while.
But it does increase the odds of short term hesitation.

Also remember this.

It is Monday.

Highs often form on Mondays.
That does not mean we dump.
It means you do not chase strength blindly.

The real green light for SOL is a clean close above 147.
That is where momentum actually unlocks.

The downside level that must hold is 121.

Above it, structure is intact.
Below it, patience gets tested again.

Final Thought

This week was not meant to make you money.

It was meant to test whether you could do nothing.

Most traders cannot.

They confuse movement with opportunity.
They confuse boredom with urgency.
They confuse noise with signals.

The market is not asking you to act right now.
It is asking you to wait without panicking.

If you can do that, you survive.
If you cannot, chop will slowly take your capital and your confidence.

One Last Thing

If you want real-time ETH and SOL breakdowns,
specific levels, invalidations, and execution plans as they develop,
I do not post that publicly.

That lives inside my Discord.

www.whop.com/digitalvault1

This is where traders stop guessing and start reacting properly.
This is where patience is enforced, not preached.

If you are tired of getting chopped up while waiting for the real move,
you already know what to do.

The link is there.

Victor