Victor's Monday Weekly Outlook

Let’s talk Bitcoin.

Not hopium.
Not Twitter noise.
Not influencer guesses.

Just structure, momentum, and what the chart is actually telling us right now.

The Trendline Decision Time Is Here

BTC is sitting right at a critical moment.

The long-standing trendline that’s been supporting this structure is about to be broken.

That does not automatically mean “bear market.”
It means decision point.

Markets don’t move in straight lines.
They probe, fake, test, invalidate, and only then commit.

Right now, price is pressing against the trendline with declining momentum.
That tells you one thing clearly:

The market is forcing positioning.

If today closes red, the bear flag is very likely confirmed.
That would open up a deeper retrace.

If today closes green, it’s a constructive retest.
A last shakeout before continuation.

Either way, volatility is coming.

And this is where most people get chopped to pieces emotionally.

Momentum Is Cooling And That’s Not Bearish Yet

Daily Stochastic RSI is falling.

For inexperienced traders, this looks scary.
For seasoned traders, this is expected.

Momentum oscillators must cool off after impulsive moves.
They reset. They breathe. They reload.

This doesn’t tell us “the bull is over.”
It tells us price needs time and/or lower levels to build energy again.

The mistake retail always makes is assuming:

“Momentum down = sell everything.”

Wrong.

Momentum down at key HTF levels = prepare.

The Logical Support Zones (Where Real Decisions Are Made)

Let’s talk levels, because emotions disappear when levels are clear.

Below us, the next logical support zones remain:

• [premium]

• [premium]

These are not random numbers.

These dotted zones represent:

• prior demand

• liquidity pools

• areas where buyers previously stepped in

• zones market makers love to revisit

If BTC breaks the trendline and confirms the bear flag, these are the areas where buyers will be tested.

And let me be very clear:

If price reaches these levels with fear high, funding compressed, and momentum washed 
that is not where you panic.

That’s where opportunity forms.

The Ceiling Above Us Still Matters

Above price, [premium] remains the key resistance.

We’ve tested it.
We’ve rejected from it.
We’ve chopped around it.

That tells you sellers are defending it for now.

Markets don’t break resistance just because people want them to.
They break resistance after weak hands are cleared below.

This is why patience pays.

Most traders will:

• sell the dip

• wait for confirmation

• buy back higher

• repeat the cycle

Smart traders understand that price has to hurt people first before it rewards them.

What Confirms the Local Bottom

Here’s what I’m personally watching very closely:

The next bullish engulfing candle on lower timeframes.

That candle is important because it signals:

• sellers losing control

• buyers stepping in aggressively

• momentum shift

• local LTF bottom confirmation

That’s not something you predict.
That’s something you wait for and execute on.

This is the difference between reacting emotionally and acting strategically.

Why This Week Filters Most Traders

This week is designed to:

• frustrate bulls

• tempt bears

• shake conviction

• drain patience

It’s slow.
It’s uncomfortable.
It feels like nothing is happening.

Which is exactly why positioning is happening.

The market is not here to entertain you.
It’s here to transfer money.

From impatient hands
to disciplined ones.

For Ethereum..

[Premium]

The Bigger Picture (Zoom Out)

Ask yourself honestly:

Has liquidity disappeared?
No.

Has institutional adoption reversed?
No.

Has the macro environment turned hostile overnight?
No.

What’s happening right now is structural digestion.

Every major move is followed by:

• consolidation

• retracement

• doubt

• boredom

This is the phase where:

• tourists leave

• survivors stay

• setups form quietly

If you can’t handle this phase,
you don’t deserve the next one.

Final Words

BTC doesn’t need to pump today.
BTC doesn’t need to break ATH this week.
BTC doesn’t need to make you feel good right now.

It needs to build a base strong enough to run later.

And that base is always built in fear, not euphoria.

Watch the levels.
Watch momentum.
Watch the engulfing candle.

And most importantly, watch your emotions.

Don’t Sit This Out Blind

If you’re still guessing…
If you’re still reacting to candles…
If you’re still letting emotions dictate decisions…

You are already behind.

Inside my Discord, we:

• track these levels in real time

• identify invalidations clearly

• spot LTF reversals as they form

• manage risk instead of guessing direction

This is not a signals group.
This is a decision-making framework.

If you want to trade this next phase with clarity instead of fear:

👉 Join the 9-5 Traders Discord now
www.whop.com/digitalvault1

The next move will be fast.

And once it starts,
there won’t be time to “think about joining.”

Victor