Before I go into each chart I want to be direct about something.

Yesterday I covered four macro indicators. BTC dominance broke above 60.37%. ETH/BTC broke below 0.03002. Both of those are bearish signals for the altcoin market.

That context matters for everything I'm about to show you.

These four altcharts don't exist in a vacuum. They exist inside a market where capital is concentrating in BTC and leaving the alt ecosystem. That doesn't mean every alt falls immediately. It means the wind is blowing against alts right now. Any alt holding up is doing so despite the macro, not because of it.

With that said, here's the honest read on each one.

Current: 0.4725

AERO is the standout in this group and I want to give credit where it's due.

Weeks ago I flagged 0.3978 as the critical support-to-resistance flip level. The setup was: hold above 0.3978 with volume, target 0.5875.

AERO held. It's now at 0.4725, sitting comfortably above 0.3978 and making progress toward the 0.5875 target.

The volume behind the move has been consistent. That's what separates AERO from the other three charts right now. It's not just holding a level. It's doing so with genuine buying participation.

0.3978 is now the support floor below current price. As long as AERO holds daily closes above 0.3978, the setup remains intact. The target above is 0.5875. That's 0.115 away from current price, roughly a 24% move from here.

The caveat is the macro. BTC.D rising and ETH/BTC falling is headwind territory for alts. AERO is holding up despite that headwind. That's impressive. But I want to see whether that resilience continues or whether the macro eventually wins.

My read: Best chart of the four. Setup is active and playing out. Watch 0.3978 on any pullback.

HYPE bounced from the 20.16 lows all the way to 50.11 earlier this month. I called it the strongest chart in the group at the time.

Since then it has pulled back to 40.32, sitting just above the 38.55 support level I flagged as the critical floor.

This is the most important level for HYPE right now. Not the 50.11 resistance above. Not the 28.22 level below. The 38.55 floor.

If HYPE holds 38.55 on daily closes, the recovery structure from the lows remains intact. A bounce from 38.55 with volume would be the second test of that support and historically second tests that hold create stronger bases than first tests.

If HYPE loses 38.55 on a daily close, the recovery structure breaks. Below 38.55 the next support is 28.22. That's a significant move down from current price.

The macro headwind makes 38.55 more vulnerable than it would otherwise be. When the broader alt market is under pressure from rising BTC.D, support levels that look solid on a chart get tested harder than usual.

My read: Critical support being tested right now. Today and tomorrow's daily closes matter enormously for this chart.

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XRP's range is still intact. 1.306 on the bottom. 1.605 to 1.674 on top. Current price at 1.383 is closer to the support than at any point in recent weeks.

The two failed breakout attempts at 1.605 that I flagged previously have now faded. The momentum from those attempts is gone. XRP has drifted steadily lower since the second rejection.

When a rangebound asset drifts from the top of the range to the bottom without a clear catalyst, it tells you sellers are gradually winning the argument. Not dramatically. Not with a crash candle. Just slowly and consistently.

1.306 is the floor. A daily close below it would be a significant development and would open the door to the 1.10 to 1.15 zone.

A bounce from 1.306 would reconfirm the range is holding.

The macro backdrop gives me no reason to be optimistic about a breakout above 1.605 in the near term. BTC.D above 60.37% is not a condition where XRP makes sustained upside moves.

My read: Range intact but drifting bearish. Watch 1.306 closely.

SOL's chart looks different from the last time I covered it in detail.

The ascending channel from the February lows, the one I was watching for a lower rail entry near 76.69, has broken down. SOL fell from the 116.98 area through the channel structure and is now sitting between 76.69 as major support and 97.63 as resistance above.

The breakdown of the ascending channel is a structural shift. It means the sequence of higher lows that defined SOL's recovery is no longer intact. Instead of watching for a channel rail touch entry, I'm now reading this chart as a range with no clear trendline support underneath it.

83.96 is mid-range between 76.69 and 97.63. Neither the top nor the bottom. No defined entry signal from here.

76.69 is the support I'm watching below. A test of 76.69 followed by a rejection candle would be the next defined entry setup. Without that, SOL is a chart I observe rather than trade.

My read: Channel structure broken. No active setup. Waiting for 76.69 test or reclaim of 97.63.

Four alts. One holding up well. One at a critical support test. One drifting toward its floor. One with a broken structure.

The macro backdrop from yesterday's indicator issue is real and it's being reflected in these charts. AERO is the exception. Everything else is showing the strain of a market where BTC is taking capital away from the alt ecosystem.

I'm not adding new alt positions in this environment beyond what's already active. AERO's setup is live and the Stage 1 entry has played out. Everything else needs to either find and hold a support or show me a new setup before I deploy capital.

The next issue will update the macro indicators. If BTC.D reverses below 60.37% or ETH/BTC reclaims 0.03002, the alt picture changes. Until then, selective and patient.

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