I track four indicators every week to tell me where money is actually flowing inside crypto.

This week two of those four indicators broke key levels simultaneously.

Not in a bullish direction.

BTC dominance broke above the ceiling I've been flagging as the critical resistance.

ETH/BTC broke below the support level I've been calling the most important line in the altcoin market.

Both happened at the same time.

That combination has a clear meaning and I want to be direct with you about what it is.

Current: 60.40%

For weeks I've been saying that 60.37% is the critical resistance on BTC dominance.

The level that, if broken to the upside, tells me capital is concentrating in BTC and leaving alts.

The level that, if broken, means no altcoin exposure.

This week BTC.D closed above 60.37%.

That's not a wick. That's not an intraday spike. That's a close above the level I've been watching as the defining ceiling for this entire cycle phase.

What does a BTC.D close above 60.37% tell me?

Capital inside crypto is flowing into Bitcoin specifically. Traders and institutions are choosing BTC over everything else. That choice doesn't happen randomly. It happens when BTC has a clear catalyst, in this case the approach toward 80k, and when everything else is comparatively unattractive.

When BTC.D rises, alts bleed in BTC terms. Even if an alt holds its USD price, it's losing ground relative to BTC. That's not a market I want alt exposure in.

The next resistance above 60.40% is 62.60%. If BTC.D continues rising toward that level, the alt underperformance gets worse, not better.

The level that would change my read back to alt-friendly: a confirmed daily close back below 58.49%. Until that happens, BTC only.

Current: 0.02997

This is the number that matters most across all four charts this week.

I've been flagging 0.03002 as the critical support on ETH/BTC for months. The level that, if broken on a daily close, signals that ETH is losing its leadership role and the broader altcoin market is in serious trouble.

ETH/BTC has now closed below 0.03002.

Current price is 0.02997. That's five points below the level I said would be a major bearish signal.

Let me explain why this matters so much for every alt you're watching.

ETH is the altcoin market's leader. When ETH can't keep pace with BTC, smaller alts can't either. The relationship is consistent across every cycle I've observed. ETH/BTC falling means capital is rotating away from the alt ecosystem and into BTC directly.

0.02997 is below 0.03002. The support is gone.

The next meaningful support below current price is 0.02635. That represents a further significant decline in ETH relative to BTC and would imply continued underperformance across the alt market.

For the picture to improve, ETH/BTC needs to reclaim 0.03002 on a daily closing basis. A single wick back above it doesn't count. A confirmed close and hold above 0.03002 would be the first signal that the breakdown is reversing.

Until that happens, alts are not where I want to be.

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Current: 7.500%

USDT.D is falling. That means money is leaving stablecoins. Rotation is happening.

But here's the nuance. Falling USDT.D combined with rising BTC.D tells you exactly where that money is going.

Into BTC. Not into alts.

The stablecoin rotation is real. But it's a BTC rotation, not a broad crypto rotation. That's consistent with both charts above. Capital is moving from cash into Bitcoin specifically, not into the wider altcoin ecosystem.

The next level to watch below current price is 6.742%. If USDT.D breaks below 6.742%, the rotation is accelerating. Combined with BTC.D above 60.37%, that acceleration still goes predominantly into BTC unless the dominance picture changes simultaneously.

Current: 725.47B

TOTAL3 is slightly lower than last week's 730.84B. Still inside the range between 661.43B support and 775.21B resistance.

But the internal drift is negative. Each week TOTAL3 is a little lower than the week before without breaking either range boundary decisively. That kind of slow drift inside a range is not accumulation. It's distribution happening gradually.

661.43B is the floor I'm watching. A break below it would be a meaningful bearish signal for the entire altcoin market and would project toward 469.82B.

The 775.21B resistance above has not been tested. With BTC.D rising and ETH/BTC breaking support, a push toward 775.21B looks increasingly unlikely in the near term.

Let me put all four together plainly.

BTC.D broke above 60.37%. Capital is concentrating in BTC.

ETH/BTC broke below 0.03002. ETH is losing ground to BTC. Alts are bleeding.

USDT.D falling but rotation going into BTC, not alts.

TOTAL3 drifting lower inside its range.

This is not a mixed picture. This is a clear signal. The market is telling me to stay in BTC and stay out of alts until the indicators reverse.

I have been patient in cash for months. The BTC chart is giving me a deployment signal. But not now, but for eventual bottom. The alt indicators are telling me to stay away from everything except BTC.

That combination clarifies my positioning significantly.

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Victor