Victor's Weekly Market Outlook

Let’s not waste time.

The market is at a crossroads.

Most retail traders are getting chopped up because they can’t separate signal from noise. They see red candles and scream bear market. They see green candles and start longing the top.

But structure doesn’t lie. This week is about understanding the range we’re in, the metrics that matter, and the rotations setting up quietly while everyone else argues on CT.

1. Bitcoin (BTC)

BTC is currently locked inside the 124k – 107k range. That’s your battlefield.
Until price breaks out decisively, all the noise in between is just mid-cycle chop.

• Upper bound: 124k – the ceiling where supply is stacked.

• Lower bound: 107k – the floor where demand keeps stepping in.

• Green box at 100k: This is the deeper retest level. Even if BTC flushes here, it doesn’t mean the cycle is over. It would just be another re-accumulation sweep.

Here’s what matters: BTC consolidating inside this range is healthy. Why? Because it gives ETH, SOL, and the broader alt market breathing room. If BTC breaks out violently, dominance spikes and alts bleed. But if BTC stays sideways, money starts rotating down the risk curve.

Psychology check: if we wick 100k, expect mass panic from tourists. They’ll scream “cycle over.” Meanwhile, killers will be loading spot and smiling.

2. Ethereum (ETH)

ETH is weaker than most realize right now.

• Immediate support: The green box it’s sitting on. If this cracks, the next levels are 4250, then the red box around 4000.

• Upside resistance: 4950. That’s the lid ETH must clear to show real strength.

The daily Stoch RSI is curling down. That’s your early warning: momentum is fading short-term. Don’t confuse that with ETH being finished. It just means smart entries will come on the next support sweep, not here in the middle of the range.

ETH’s best case is BTC holding steady in its range. That creates the conditions for ETH to bounce and retest 4950. Worst case? BTC dominance rips higher and ETH gets dragged to the 4000 handle.

Lesson here: patience. Don’t long ETH mid-range hoping for a breakout. Wait for supports to load.

3. (TOTAL3 – USDT – USDC) / ETH

This metric doesn’t get talked about, but it’s one of my favorites because it filters noise. It tracks how the alt market (TOTAL3) is moving against ETH.

Right now, it’s been making higher lows. That’s the first sign of stabilization.

Translation: alts are starting to outperform ETH, even if only by dumping less. Outperformance doesn’t always mean pumps. Sometimes it just means holding up better during ETH weakness.

For traders, this signals a short-term window where smaller caps can shine. But don’t confuse it with a full-blown altseason. That comes later, when TOTAL3 breaks higher against both ETH and BTC.

Think of this as a flicker of strength, not the bonfire yet.

4. Solana (SOL)

Here’s the star of the show.

We wicked up to 250 last week. That was the exact take-profit zone I called. Hopefully none of you chased it.

Now SOL is consolidating between:

• Red box (resistance) around 250

• Green box (accumulation) I’ve moved up to 195–220

Short-term support sits at 230. That’s where I’ll start adding some exposure again.

The lesson? If you missed the 160 accumulation range, your next best bet is 195–220. Don’t wait for perfection, cycles don’t hand out second chances often.

Narrative + technicals both point to this: SOL will be the next big runner. When BTC consolidates and ETH chops, SOL has the cleanest setup to expand.

If you’re not bulked up here, you’re gambling on catching momentum later at higher prices. That’s how tourists always miss the real move.

5. SOLETH

The SOLETH pair is grinding up from the range lows.

For the last few weeks, SOL has been outperforming ETH. That’s not opinion, it’s right there in the chart. This pair is confirmation.

When SOLETH is rising, it tells you the smart money rotation is happening. ETH is losing dominance to SOL. That’s the kind of relative strength signal that front-runs entire narrative shifts.

If you’re still measuring everything in USD pairs, you’re playing checkers while the pros are playing chess. Relative pairs (SOLETH, ETHBTC, TOTAL3 ratios) tell you where liquidity is moving before the USD charts catch up.

The Bigger Picture

• BTC is stable in range = green light for rotations.

• ETH looks weak near-term but provides levels for accumulation.

• TOTAL3/ETH hints that alts may outperform briefly.

• SOL is the standout candidate for the next major leg.

• SOLETH confirms rotation into SOL.

What’s missing? Conviction. Most of you still hesitate. You want every setup to be perfect before acting. But the market doesn’t reward hesitation. It rewards those who prepare levels, size positions, and execute without emotion when the chart tags their zones.

Final Word

We are nowhere near the end of this cycle. A retest of 100k BTC won’t kill the market, it will shake out the weak. The killers will accumulate, rotate into strength, and ride the next leg while the tourists cry on Twitter.

If you’re still stuck in your 9-5 trying to figure this game out alone, let me be blunt: you won’t make it far without a system. That’s why I built the Crypto Exit Manual (CEM). It’s the exact framework I wish I had when I was sitting at my desk watching BTC run without me.

👉 Don’t guess. Don’t chase. Don’t wait until it’s too late.
Make this bull cycle your last cycle working for someone else.

Get inside the CEM and start trading like you actually have a plan.

Victor