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- Why Altseason Has Not Started Yet | Part 4 of 4
Why Altseason Has Not Started Yet | Part 4 of 4
This final part ties everything together and answers the only question that actually matters.
If you have followed Parts 1 to 3 closely, you should now understand something most traders never internalize.
Altseason is not delayed.
It is gated.
And the gate is not price.
It is structure, leadership, and psychology.
This final part ties everything together and answers the only question that actually matters.
What needs to change for altseason to truly begin?
Altseason Has Clear Structural Requirements
Altseason is not a vibe.
It is not a narrative.
It is not a feeling.
It is a structural transition.
There are three switches that must flip.
Until they do, everything else is noise.
Switch One: BTC Must Stop Being the Only Trade
Altseason cannot begin while BTC remains the dominant focus of speculation.
Not dominance on a chart alone.
Dominance in attention, leverage, and narrative.
As long as:
BTC is where leverage concentrates
BTC is where headlines focus
BTC is where safety hides
Capital will not meaningfully rotate outward.
BTC does not need to crash for altseason to begin.
It needs to go quiet.
When BTC stops exciting people, capital looks elsewhere.
That is always the first condition.
Switch Two: ETH Must Take Leadership
This is non negotiable.
Altseason does not start with random alts.
It starts with ETH outperforming BTC.
ETH is the bridge between safety and risk.
When ETH leads, it signals confidence expansion.
When ETH lags, it signals caution.
You can pump a few alts without ETH leadership.
You cannot sustain altseason without it.
This is why ETH BTC matters more than any alt chart you are staring at.
When ETH BTC trends up and holds, altseason becomes possible.
Until then, patience is required.
Switch Three: Sellers Must Be Exhausted
This is the part retail hates the most.
Altseason requires sellers to be gone.
Not scared.
Not hedging.
Gone.
That only happens through time.
Sideways action drains conviction.
Boredom removes participation.
Silence clears supply.
When no one cares enough to sell anymore, price is free to rise.
That is why altseason never starts when people are waiting for it.
It starts when people stop caring.
Why People Always Miss the Start
By the time all three switches flip, altseason already feels obvious.
Charts break out.
Narratives return.
Influencers reappear.
But the risk reward is already worse.
The best entries exist before confirmation, not after.
This is why people always say:
I knew it was coming
I just did not expect it so soon
They were right on direction.
They failed on patience.
This Is Why Fake Altseasons Keep Happening
The market loves to tease.
Small pumps.
Short rotations.
Quick fades.
These are tests.
The market is checking whether sellers are still present.
If price moves up and supply appears, it pulls back.
That process repeats until supply is gone.
Only then does a real altseason begin.
That is why chasing early moves is dangerous.
And why waiting for structure matters.
Where We Are Right Now
We are not at the start.
But we are not far.
BTC focus is slowly fading.
ETH is stabilizing.
Time based capitulation is working.
This is the phase that decides who participates and who watches.
Not exciting.
Not comfortable.
But necessary.
What You Should Actually Be Doing
Stop asking when altseason starts.
Start preparing for when it does.
That means:
Tracking ETH BTC, not hype
Watching dominance, not noise
Managing size so you can survive time
Staying engaged without overtrading
Altseason does not reward activity.
It rewards presence.
The Hard Truth
Most people will not make it to altseason.
Not because they are wrong.
But because they leave too early.
They survive the downside.
They endure the chop.
Then they quit during boredom.
Right before it matters.
That is the market doing its job.
Final Words
Altseason is not missing.
It is being prepared.
Quietly.
Patiently.
Unfairly.
If you are still here, still thinking clearly, still positioning responsibly, you are exactly where you need to be.
The market is not done.
It is selecting.
Listen.
Everything you just read is what I am actively tracking and navigating in real time.
ETH BTC leadership.
Dominance shifts.
Sector rotation.
Positioning through boredom.
That level of detail does not live in a newsletter.
It lives inside the Discord.
This is where preparation happens before the move, not after.
If you want to be positioned when altseason actually starts, not chasing it when it is obvious, you know where to go.
Altseason does not reward hope.
It rewards those who stayed when nothing was happening.
Victor