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Why Most Traders Are About to Get Trapped (And How to Play Smarter)
Because right now, I’m seeing the same mistake — everywhere.
Let’s have a real conversation.
Because right now, I’m seeing the same mistake — everywhere.
Retail is getting CONFIDENT again.
✅ Bitcoin is pumping.
✅ Alts are flashing green.
✅ Everyone feels like geniuses again.
You know the vibes:
“This time it’s different!”
“New ATHs coming any day now!”
“It’s a new era, bro!”
Yeah, yeah.
That’s exactly what smart money wants you to believe.
Meanwhile?
Smart money is setting the trap.
They’re laying it quietly.
Patiently.
While retail dances right into it.
And if you’re only watching PRICE,
You’re already behind.
Because price doesn’t drive the market.
Liquidity does.
🧠 Here’s the secret most people never learn:
The chart that actually runs this entire show?
It’s NOT Bitcoin.
It’s M2 Money Supply.
And guess what?
Most people don't even know what it is —
which is exactly why they get played every single cycle.
Quick crash course:
What is M2 Money Supply?
It’s the total amount of cash, checking deposits, savings deposits, and near-cash assets floating in the economy.
In short:
M2 measures the fuel available for the market to move.
More liquidity = More risk-on behavior.
Less liquidity = Panic, sell-offs, crashes.
Let me take you back to 2020:
Everyone was screaming:
“RECESSION!
Economy’s dead!
Pack it up, it’s over!”
Meanwhile, behind the scenes?
📈 M2 Money Supply exploded.
The Fed printed trillions.
Liquidity flooded into the system.
Result?
Bitcoin from $5,000 → $69,000
Stocks went vertical
NFTs and memes printing life-changing money
Everyone called it a miracle.
I called it math.
Once I understood the real game — everything changed.
I stopped:
Guessing tops and bottoms
Overtrading noise
Letting emotions control my positions
Instead, I started:
Tracking liquidity trends
Positioning BEFORE the crowd
Getting aggressive when fuel was abundant
Simple.
🛠️ Here’s How You Actually Use M2 to Trade:
✅ Go to the FRED M2 Money Supply Chart (public data)
✅ Zoom out — identify the major trend
Is M2 expanding (rising)?
➡️ Market has fuel. Risk-on.Is M2 contracting (falling)?
➡️ Risk-off. Defensive mode.
✅ Combine with Bitcoin structure:
If M2 is expanding + BTC holding support → Time to get aggressive
If M2 is flat/falling + BTC weak → Play defense, protect capital
This is how smart money plays.
Want Proof?
Every major crypto cycle lined up with M2:
2020–2021 bull run:
M2 exploded upward → BTC went vertical.2022 crash:
M2 peaked → started declining → liquidity dried up → crypto nuked.Right now in 2025:
📈 M2 is rising again.
Not in headlines yet.
Not on TikTok influencers’ feeds.
But the data is moving.
🧠 Here’s your cheat code:
Follow the money. Literally.
Not Twitter narratives.
Not price candles.
Not influencer hopium.
Track liquidity.
Because liquidity drives everything.
🔥 Inside the 9-5 Traders Community, I break this down LIVE:
How we build conviction before the herd figures it out
If you want to stop playing checkers while the real game is chess…
📩 [Join the 9-5 Traders Community Now]
Because you don’t get rich reacting.
You get rich positioning.
Talk soon,
Victor